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首先,大模型本身没那么可靠:存在无法根除的幻觉问题、知识时效性问题,任务拆解和规划经常不合理,也缺乏面向特定任务的系统性校验机制。这样一来,以其为“大脑”的智能体使用价值会大打折扣:智能体把模型从“对话”推向“行动”,错误不再只是答错问题,而是可能引发实际操作风险;而真实业务任务往往是跨系统、长链路的,一次小错误会在链路中层层放大,令长链路任务的失败率居高不下(例如单步成功率为95%时,一个 20步链路的整体成功率只有约 36%)。

Mass domestic surveillance. We support the use of AI for lawful foreign intelligence and counterintelligence missions. But using these systems for mass domestic surveillance is incompatible with democratic values. AI-driven mass surveillance presents serious, novel risks to our fundamental liberties. To the extent that such surveillance is currently legal, this is only because the law has not yet caught up with the rapidly growing capabilities of AI. For example, under current law, the government can purchase detailed records of Americans’ movements, web browsing, and associations from public sources without obtaining a warrant, a practice the Intelligence Community has acknowledged raises privacy concerns and that has generated bipartisan opposition in Congress. Powerful AI makes it possible to assemble this scattered, individually innocuous data into a comprehensive picture of any person’s life—automatically and at massive scale.

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